Recursos

1. Plataforma de Dados abertos

Confira, utilize e contribua com dados que subsidiem a modelagem em dengue na nossa Plataforma de Dados Abertos

2. Palestras

3. Alguns artigos sobre dengue, produzidos por membros da rede

  • Modelagem de doenças transmissíveis Claudia Codeço, Flavio Coelho. Oecologia australis, Vol. 16, No 1 (2012)

    Este artigo descreve a emergência da modelagem matemática no estudo da dinâmica de doenças transmissíveis, como um método formal de argumentação e dedução lógica, os conceitos gerados a partir desta metodologia, em especial o limiar de suscetíveis e o número reprodutivo. Por fim, são apresentados desafios modernos que decorrem da aplicação da modelagem matemática no contexto mais aplicado de resolução de problemas de saúde pública.

  • Multiscale analysis and modeling of Aedes aegypti population spatial dynamics Lana RM ; Codeço, C. T. ; Honorio, N. A. ; Carneiro TG, Journal of Information and Data Management, v. 2, p. 211-220, 2011.

    Population dynamic models requires the evaluation of the best scale of analysis. This work analyses three spatial scales in the context of the mosquito Aedes aegypti, main vector of dengue fever.

  • Stochastic dynamics of dengue epidemics

    Souza, DR; Tome, T; Pinho, STR; Barreto, F; Oliveira, MJ. Physical Review. E, Statistical, Nonlinear and Soft Matter Physics (Online), v. 87, p. 012709, 2013.

    We use a stochastic Markovian dynamics approach to describe the spreading of vector-transmitted diseases, such as dengue, and the threshold of the disease.

  • Temporal analysis of the relationship between dengue and meteorological variables in the city of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, 2001-2009. Gomes, AF ; Nobre, AA ; Cruz, OG. Cadernos de Saúde Pública, v. 28, p. 2189-2197, 2012.

    O objetivo deste trabalho foi estudar o efeito de fatores sazonais e a relação entre as variáveis climáticas e o risco de dengue, na cidade do Rio de Janeiro, Brasil, entre 2001 e 2009. A transmissão da dengue está relacionada a muitos fatores; o impacto do clima, apesar de ainda não ser bem entendido, é apontado como crítico ao facilitar análise de risco de epidemias.

  • Spatial modeling of dengue and socio-environmental indicators in the city of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

    Teixeira, TRA ; Cruz, OG . Cadernos de Saúde Pública (ENSP. Impresso), v. 27, p. 591-602, 2011.

    This study analyzed the spatial distribution of dengue in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, in 2006, and associations between the incidence per 100,000 inhabitants and socio-environmental variables.

  • Assessing the Potential of a Candidate Dengue Vaccine with Mathematical Modeling. Plos Neglected Tropical Diseases, v. 6, p. e1450, 2012.

    WHO-VMI Dengue Vaccine Modeling ; Struchiner, C. J.

    To date, most models of dengue transmission have been limited in scope and focused on specific questions in transmission dynamics. However, many aspects of the dynamics of dengue transmission are still not fully understood. In order for models to be accurate, realistic, and useful, there is an urgent need for improved understanding of dengue virology and immunology, as well as the entomological, social, and environmental factors that modulate dengue transmission. As these facets of dengue biology are further investigated, we will gain confidence that future mathematical models may come close to an accurate representation of true dengue epidemics

  • Vectorial capacity, basic reproduction number, force of infection and all that: formal notation to complete and adjust their classical concepts and equations

    Massad, E. ; Coutinho, FAB. Memórias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz, v. 107, p. 564-567, 2012.

    A dimensional analysis of the classical equations related to the dynamics of vector-borne infections is presented. It is provided a formal notation to complete the expressions for the Ross' Threshold Theorem, the Macdonald's basic reproduction "rate" and sporozoite "rate", Garret-Jones' vectorial capacity and Dietz-Molineaux-Thomas' force of infection. The analysis was intended to provide a formal notation that complete the classical equations proposed by these authors.

  • Designing a vaccination strategy against dengue

    Amaku, Marcos ; Coudeville, L. ; Massad, E. Revista do Instituto de Medicina Tropical de São Paulo, v. 18, p. S18-S21, 2012.

    This work proposes a mathematical approach to estimate the dengue force of infection, the average age of dengue first infection, the optimum age to vaccinate children against dengue in a routine fashion and the optimum age interval to introduce the dengue vaccine in a mass vaccination campaign.

  • Potential impact of dengue vaccination: a modeling approach Massad, E. International Journal of Infectious Diseases, v. 16, p. e5, 2012.

  • Intraspecific Competition and Population Dynamics of Aedes aegypti

    Paixão, CA ; CHARRET, IC ; Lima, RR. Brazilian Journal of Physics (Impresso), v. 42, p. 132-136, 2012.

    We report computational simulations for the evolution of the population of the dengue vector, Aedes aegypti mosquitoes. The results suggest that controlling the mosquito population, on the basis of intraspecific competition at the larval stage, can be an efficient mechanism for controlling the spread of the epidemic. The results also show the presence of a kind of genetic evolution in vector population, which results mainly in increasing the average lifespan of individuals in adulthood.

  • Modeling the Dynamic Transmission of Dengue Fever: Investigating Disease Persistence

    Medeiros, LCC; Castilho, CAR ; Braga, C ; de Souza, WV ; Regis, L; Monteiro, AMV. Plos Neglected Tropical Diseases, v. 5, p. e942, 2011.

    Dengue is a disease of great complexity, due to interactions between humans, mosquitoes and various virus serotypes as well as efficient vector survival strategies. Thus, understanding the factors influencing the persistence of the disease has been a challenge for scientists and policy makers. The aim of this study is to investigate the influence of various factors related to humans and vectors in the maintenance of viral transmission during extended periods.

  • Modelagem de espalhamento da dengue através de autômatos celulares

    Soares, BE; Rizzi, RL. Revista Científica Inovação e Tecnologia, v. Espec., p. 6-9, 2013.

    O objetivo deste trabalho foi compreender e implementar métodos de propagação de doenças de modelagem compartimental, com enfoque no modelo da dengue.

  • Uma Contribuição ao Controle da Dengue em Cascavel/PR através de um Software com Informações Georreferenciadas Lorbiesk, R; Hachmann, DR ; Rizzi, CB ; Brun, AL; Rizzi, RL. . Revista Paranaense Perio/Implante, v. 5, p. 19-25, 2011.

    Esse artigo apresenta a atual fase de desenvolvimento de um sistema computacional cujo objetivo é disponibilizar um Sistema de informações Georreferenciadas específico para a Dengue para o município de Cascavel.

  • Simulação de Modelos epidemiológios de Múltiplos Sorotipos Ribeiro DRV; Zara, RA. Revista Científica Inovação e Tecnologia, v. 1, p. 14-17, 2013.

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